Nico Sturm vs Nikita Alexandrov
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +19.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Sturm on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Sturm wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Alexandrov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 56.2% vs Alexandrov 41.1% (+19.1%)
H2H factor
Sturm leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Sturm 59.1%
Defensive zone
Sturm 94.1%
Neutral zone
Sturm 83.1%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 80.3%
80.3%
19.7%
Sturm
Alexandrov
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Sturm
Alexandrov
Last 10: Sturm 6-4 Alexandrov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Alexandrov
0
3
Sturm
Alexandrov
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
4
0
Sturm
Alexandrov
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
2
1
Sturm
Alexandrov
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Alexandrov
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (2,681)
37.6% (237)
+19.5%
Power Play
61.3% (62)
33.3% (3)
+28.0%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (482)
0.0% (1)
+51.7%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +51.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Alexandrov shoots left. Sturm is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,159).
Sturm shoots left. Alexandrov is 38.0% vs left-shot opponents (158).
Home / Away
Sturm
Alexandrov
Home
57.3% (1,595)
41.7% (108)
Away
55.5% (1,630)
33.8% (133)
By Period
Sturm
Alexandrov
P1
56.4%
45.7%
P2
55.1%
27.7%
P3
57.6%
35.7%
Final 5 min
57.0%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
56.0%▼
58.5%
56.4%
Alexandrov
40.0%▬
39.5%
37.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2024 | 3 | 07:04 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 1 | 09:31 | Offensive | Nikita Alexandrov |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 13:08 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 08:19 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 10:23 | Neutral | Nikita Alexandrov |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 07:40 | Offensive | Nikita Alexandrov |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 02:58 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 12:07 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 09:43 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 09:36 | Offensive | Nikita Alexandrov |