Nico Sturm vs Nikita Alexandrov

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Nico Sturm holds a +19.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Sturm on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Sturm wins 55.4% vs left-shot opponents — Alexandrov shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Sturm 56.1% vs Alexandrov 41.1% (+19.0%)
H2H factor Sturm leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone Sturm 57.4%
Defensive zone Sturm 93.4%
Neutral zone Sturm 81.4%
Result Nico Sturm favored at 79.0%
79.0%
21.0%
Sturm Alexandrov
Head-to-Head Record
6 - 4 (10 meetings)
6
4
Sturm Alexandrov
Last 10: Sturm 6-4 Alexandrov

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Alexandrov
0
3
Sturm Alexandrov
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
4
0
Sturm Alexandrov
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
2
1
Sturm Alexandrov
3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Sturm
Alexandrov
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (2,719)
37.6% (237)
+19.5%
Power Play
61.3% (62)
33.3% (3)
+28.0%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (498)
0.0% (1)
+51.0%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +51.0% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Alexandrov shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,186).
Sturm shoots left. Alexandrov is 38.0% vs left-shot opponents (158).
Home / Away
Sturm
Alexandrov
Home
57.1% (1,614)
41.7% (108)
Away
55.4% (1,665)
33.8% (133)
By Period
Sturm
Alexandrov
P1
56.5%
45.7%
P2
54.9%
27.7%
P3
57.4%
35.7%
Final 5 min
56.9%
39.6%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%
57.5%
56.3%
Alexandrov
40.0%
39.5%
37.3%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Apr 6, 2024 3 07:04 Defensive Nico Sturm
Apr 6, 2024 1 09:31 Offensive Nikita Alexandrov
Mar 9, 2023 3 13:08 Defensive Nico Sturm
Mar 9, 2023 3 08:19 Neutral Nico Sturm
Mar 9, 2023 1 10:23 Neutral Nikita Alexandrov
Mar 9, 2023 1 07:40 Offensive Nikita Alexandrov
Mar 9, 2023 1 02:58 Defensive Nico Sturm
Mar 2, 2023 1 12:07 Neutral Nico Sturm
Nov 10, 2022 2 09:43 Defensive Nico Sturm
Nov 10, 2022 2 09:36 Offensive Nikita Alexandrov