Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 52.5% vs Bergeron 61.2% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Bergeron 76.9%
Defensive zone
Sturm 76.9%
Neutral zone
Sturm 60.3%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Sturm
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Sturm
Bergeron
Last 10: Sturm 3-7 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
6
Sturm
Bergeron
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
5
0
Sturm
Bergeron
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Sturm
Bergeron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (480)
63.8% (1,102)
-9.8%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
65.3% (288)
-36.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (102)
47.6% (210)
+2.4%
On power play, Bergeron has a +36.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Sturm is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Sturm shoots left. Bergeron is 63.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,126).
Home / Away
Sturm
Bergeron
Home
54.0% (287)
62.5% (882)
Away
52.0% (302)
61.3% (718)
By Period
Sturm
Bergeron
P1
53.5%
62.5%
P2
51.0%
62.7%
P3
55.1%
60.6%
OT
20.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
52.8%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
53.0%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 19:58 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 19:55 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 19:02 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 18:37 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 09:29 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 06:46 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 06:08 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 03:23 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 2 | 15:10 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 2 | 12:26 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 2 | 03:03 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 05:01 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 04:36 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |