Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 56.1% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 55.2% vs Stastny 56.3% (-1.8%)
Offensive zone
Stastny 80.6%
Defensive zone
Sturm 78.9%
Neutral zone
Sturm 53.8%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Sturm
Stastny
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (716)
57.5% (412)
-1.4%
Power Play
67.7% (31)
60.0% (65)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (133)
44.4% (9)
+6.7%
On power play, Sturm has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Sturm is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Sturm shoots left. Stastny is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Sturm
Stastny
Home
55.6% (412)
58.3% (276)
Away
56.0% (468)
56.7% (210)
By Period
Sturm
Stastny
P1
59.6%
63.7%
P2
52.0%
57.3%
P3
55.5%
50.4%
Final 5 min
56.8%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
55.8%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%