Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 55.4% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 56.1% vs Koivu 51.8% (+4.5%)
Offensive zone
Koivu 59.9%
Defensive zone
Koivu 51.6%
Neutral zone
Koivu 55.9%
Result
Saku Koivu favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Sturm
Koivu
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (2,719)
51.9% (3,221)
+5.2%
Power Play
61.3% (62)
59.3% (437)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (498)
48.0% (764)
+3.0%
On even strength, Sturm has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,186).
Sturm shoots left. Koivu is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,153).
Home / Away
Sturm
Koivu
Home
57.1% (1,614)
53.5% (2,281)
Away
55.4% (1,665)
50.1% (2,209)
By Period
Sturm
Koivu
P1
56.5%
51.1%
P2
54.9%
52.6%
P3
57.4%
51.8%
OT
60.6%
52.3%
Final 5 min
56.9%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
56.3%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%