Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.3% vs 55.5%). Sturm wins 55.4% vs left-shot opponents — Ott shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 56.1% vs Ott 55.4% (+0.8%)
Offensive zone
Ott 61.6%
Defensive zone
Sturm 58.1%
Neutral zone
Ott 50.9%
Result
Steve Ott favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Sturm
Ott
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (2,719)
57.2% (2,802)
-0.1%
Power Play
61.3% (62)
55.4% (567)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (498)
49.9% (853)
+1.1%
On power play, Sturm has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,186).
Sturm shoots left. Ott is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,552).
Home / Away
Sturm
Ott
Home
57.1% (1,614)
56.8% (2,130)
Away
55.4% (1,665)
54.2% (2,103)
By Period
Sturm
Ott
P1
56.5%
56.7%
P2
54.9%
53.9%
P3
57.4%
55.7%
OT
60.6%
60.8%
Final 5 min
56.9%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
56.3%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%