Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 55.4% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 56.1% vs Plekanec 50.1% (+6.2%)
Offensive zone
Plekanec 70.5%
Defensive zone
Sturm 59.2%
Neutral zone
Plekanec 54.3%
Result
Tomas Plekanec favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Sturm
Plekanec
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (2,719)
50.8% (8,558)
+6.3%
Power Play
61.3% (62)
51.3% (1,151)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (498)
46.0% (1,924)
+5.0%
On power play, Sturm has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,186).
Sturm shoots left. Plekanec is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,049).
Home / Away
Sturm
Plekanec
Home
57.1% (1,614)
51.1% (5,909)
Away
55.4% (1,665)
49.1% (5,818)
By Period
Sturm
Plekanec
P1
56.5%
52.5%
P2
54.9%
48.9%
P3
57.4%
49.0%
OT
60.6%
51.1%
Final 5 min
56.9%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
56.3%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
50.1%