Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 52.5% vs Bozak 46.2% (+7.8%)
Offensive zone
Bozak 63.8%
Defensive zone
Sturm 62.6%
Neutral zone
Bozak 51.3%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Sturm
Bozak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (480)
46.7% (338)
+7.3%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
50.0% (6)
-21.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (102)
32.6% (43)
+17.4%
On power play, Bozak has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Sturm is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Sturm shoots left. Bozak is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (247).
Home / Away
Sturm
Bozak
Home
54.0% (287)
47.9% (194)
Away
52.0% (302)
42.5% (193)
By Period
Sturm
Bozak
P1
53.5%
40.2%
P2
51.0%
51.4%
P3
55.1%
43.1%
OT
20.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
56.0%▼
58.5%
53.0%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
45.2%