Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +14.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Newhook wins 32.7% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 37.8% vs Roy 48.9% (-14.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 73.6%
Defensive zone
Newhook 76.7%
Neutral zone
Newhook 81.7%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 79.1%
79.1%
20.9%
Newhook
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Newhook
Roy
Last 7: Newhook 1-6 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Newhook
Roy
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Newhook
Roy
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
0
4
Newhook
Roy
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
35.2% (355)
49.5% (746)
-14.3%
Power Play
29.4% (34)
50.7% (75)
-21.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
42.7% (110)
-9.4%
On power play, Roy has a +21.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Newhook is 32.7% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Newhook shoots left. Roy is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Home / Away
Newhook
Roy
Home
38.1% (189)
47.7% (491)
Away
31.5% (203)
50.0% (440)
By Period
Newhook
Roy
P1
33.9%
51.1%
P2
36.3%
44.6%
P3
33.8%
50.9%
Final 5 min
34.9%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
34.7%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 01:39 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 01:36 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 1 | 08:50 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 1 | 08:39 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 1 | 08:31 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 1 | 04:07 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 16, 2022 | 2 | 15:09 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |