Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Rodrigues wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.3% vs Roy 51.9% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 82.9%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 76.3%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 73.5%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 77.1%
77.1%
22.9%
Rodrigues
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
9
(11 meetings)
2
9
Rodrigues
Roy
Last 10: Rodrigues 2-8 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
2
Rodrigues
Roy
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
4
Rodrigues
Roy
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
1
3
Rodrigues
Roy
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (637)
51.9% (547)
-4.0%
Power Play
47.9% (71)
54.1% (37)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
37.3% (67)
53.3% (92)
-16.0%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Rodrigues is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (201).
Rodrigues shoots right. Roy is 60.4% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Roy
Home
48.3% (429)
54.0% (328)
Away
45.4% (346)
50.6% (348)
By Period
Rodrigues
Roy
P1
48.3%
53.5%
P2
46.9%
51.6%
P3
45.6%
51.6%
Final 5 min
50.6%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
47.0%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 09:02 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 14:04 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 10:26 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 05:13 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 10:34 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 14:43 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 15:13 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 09:47 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 09:40 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 09:27 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 05:06 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |