Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Svechkov wins 34.5% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Svechkov 39.8% vs Roy 47.9% (-11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Svechkov 80.3%
Defensive zone
Roy 63.0%
Neutral zone
Svechkov 62.1%
Result
Fedor Svechkov favored at 64.6%
64.6%
35.4%
Svechkov
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Svechkov
Roy
Last 6: Svechkov 2-4 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Svechkov
Roy
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
2
Svechkov
Roy
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
1
2
Svechkov
Roy
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Svechkov
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
36.8% (318)
48.6% (679)
-11.8%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
48.0% (50)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
34.7% (49)
-34.7%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +34.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Svechkov is 34.5% vs right-shot opponents (113).
Svechkov shoots left. Roy is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Home / Away
Svechkov
Roy
Home
37.0% (181)
49.3% (345)
Away
36.4% (154)
46.4% (433)
By Period
Svechkov
Roy
P1
35.1%
47.6%
P2
44.4%
47.1%
P3
30.8%
47.9%
OT
100.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
35.8%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Svechkov
34.0%▼
41.5%
36.7%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 19:51 | Neutral | Fedor Svechkov |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 19:15 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 07:13 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 09:37 | Offensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 06:21 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 09:44 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |