Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.6% vs 48.4%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Finley 49.0% vs Roy 48.4% (+0.2%)
Offensive zone
Roy 50.4%
Defensive zone
Finley 52.3%
Neutral zone
Roy 53.1%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Finley
Roy
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Finley
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (244)
48.7% (3,719)
-1.2%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
49.5% (283)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
57.7% (26)
45.5% (477)
+12.2%
On penalty kill, Finley has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Finley is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (82).
Finley shoots right. Roy is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,191).
Home / Away
Finley
Roy
Home
50.0% (162)
49.5% (2,221)
Away
46.7% (122)
47.3% (2,258)
By Period
Finley
Roy
P1
53.2%
50.8%
P2
44.6%
46.3%
P3
49.5%
48.1%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Finley
54.0%▲
50.5%
48.6%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%