Nicolas Roy vs Nikita Alexandrov
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Roy wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Alexandrov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.4% vs Alexandrov 41.1% (+11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Alexandrov 84.9%
Defensive zone
Alexandrov 60.8%
Neutral zone
Alexandrov 69.1%
Result
Nikita Alexandrov favored at 73.8%
26.2%
73.8%
Roy
Alexandrov
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Roy
Alexandrov
Last 5: Roy 1-4 Alexandrov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Roy
Alexandrov
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Alexandrov
0
1
Roy
Alexandrov
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Alexandrov
0
2
Roy
Alexandrov
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Alexandrov
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (3,719)
37.6% (237)
+11.1%
Power Play
49.5% (283)
33.3% (3)
+16.2%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (477)
0.0% (1)
+45.5%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +45.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Alexandrov shoots left. Roy is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,288).
Roy shoots right. Alexandrov is 36.1% vs right-shot opponents (83).
Home / Away
Roy
Alexandrov
Home
49.5% (2,221)
41.7% (108)
Away
47.3% (2,258)
33.8% (133)
By Period
Roy
Alexandrov
P1
50.8%
45.7%
P2
46.3%
27.7%
P3
48.1%
35.7%
Final 5 min
47.2%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Alexandrov
40.0%▬
39.5%
37.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2023 | 3 | 19:48 | Neutral | Nikita Alexandrov |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 1 | 07:46 | Neutral | Nikita Alexandrov |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 1 | 07:38 | Offensive | Nikita Alexandrov |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 1 | 09:28 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 1 | 09:11 | Defensive | Nikita Alexandrov |