Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Roy wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Alexandrov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.3% vs Alexandrov 41.2% (+12.7%)
Offensive zone
Alexandrov 67.3%
Defensive zone
Roy 79.4%
Neutral zone
Roy 52.7%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Roy
Alexandrov
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Alexandrov
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (633)
35.6% (146)
+12.7%
Power Play
52.1% (48)
33.3% (3)
+18.8%
Penalty Kill
43.7% (87)
0.0% (1)
+43.7%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +43.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Alexandrov shoots left. Roy is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Roy shoots right. Alexandrov is 31.1% vs right-shot opponents (45).
Home / Away
Roy
Alexandrov
Home
50.8% (376)
32.8% (61)
Away
45.4% (392)
37.1% (89)
By Period
Roy
Alexandrov
P1
53.8%
41.7%
P2
43.5%
30.2%
P3
46.4%
33.9%
Final 5 min
47.2%
37.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.0%
Alexandrov
40.0%▬
39.5%
35.3%