Scouting Report
Patrick Marleau holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Marleau on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Roy wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Marleau shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.4% vs Marleau 50.9% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marleau 63.2%
Defensive zone
Roy 67.8%
Neutral zone
Roy 52.4%
Result
Patrick Marleau favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Roy
Marleau
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Roy
Marleau
Last 6: Roy 3-3 Marleau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
1
2
Roy
Marleau
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
0
1
Roy
Marleau
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
2
0
Roy
Marleau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Marleau
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (3,719)
50.3% (2,656)
-1.6%
Power Play
49.5% (283)
55.7% (332)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (477)
50.7% (452)
-5.2%
On power play, Marleau has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marleau shoots left. Roy is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,288).
Roy shoots right. Marleau is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,389).
Home / Away
Roy
Marleau
Home
49.5% (2,221)
53.3% (1,735)
Away
47.3% (2,258)
48.5% (1,715)
By Period
Roy
Marleau
P1
50.8%
52.2%
P2
46.3%
49.5%
P3
48.1%
50.7%
OT
50.0%
55.1%
Final 5 min
47.2%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2021 | 2 | 00:47 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| May 12, 2021 | 1 | 03:52 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 21, 2021 | 2 | 11:00 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 08:01 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 07:35 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 3 | 03:50 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |