Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Sheahan on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.9% vs Sheahan 47.5% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 67.4%
Defensive zone
Sheahan 76.3%
Neutral zone
Sheahan 57.1%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Roy
Sheahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Roy
Sheahan
Last 8: Roy 2-6 Sheahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sheahan
2
3
Roy
Sheahan
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sheahan
0
2
Roy
Sheahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sheahan
0
1
Roy
Sheahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Sheahan
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (746)
50.7% (357)
-1.2%
Power Play
50.7% (75)
50.0% (8)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (110)
40.2% (194)
+2.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sheahan shoots left. Roy is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Roy shoots right. Sheahan is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (209).
Home / Away
Roy
Sheahan
Home
47.7% (491)
44.8% (248)
Away
50.0% (440)
48.9% (311)
By Period
Roy
Sheahan
P1
51.1%
46.2%
P2
44.6%
50.5%
P3
50.9%
44.7%
OT
42.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.7%
43.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2022 | 3 | 15:55 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 1 | 08:17 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 3 | 16:42 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 3 | 07:37 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 3 | 03:28 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 3 | 03:24 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 3 | 00:46 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 1 | 02:23 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |