Scouting Report
Rodrigo Abols holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Roy wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Abols shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.4% vs Abols 53.1% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 54.8%
Defensive zone
Roy 65.9%
Neutral zone
Roy 64.8%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Roy
Abols
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Roy
Abols
Last 6: Roy 2-4 Abols
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Roy
Abols
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Abols
0
2
Roy
Abols
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Abols
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (3,719)
53.7% (402)
-5.0%
Power Play
49.5% (283)
57.1% (7)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (477)
57.1% (7)
-11.6%
On penalty kill, Abols has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Abols shoots left. Roy is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,288).
Roy shoots right. Abols is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Roy
Abols
Home
49.5% (2,221)
56.3% (215)
Away
47.3% (2,258)
51.2% (201)
By Period
Roy
Abols
P1
50.8%
55.6%
P2
46.3%
47.3%
P3
48.1%
59.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Abols
54.0%▲
51.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 05:41 | Defensive | Rodrigo Abols |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 05:25 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 01:57 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 01:50 | Defensive | Rodrigo Abols |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 14:28 | Offensive | Rodrigo Abols |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 04:03 | Offensive | Rodrigo Abols |