Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Roy wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.4% vs Bozak 53.4% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 69.1%
Defensive zone
Roy 85.3%
Neutral zone
Roy 71.0%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 77.0%
77.0%
23.0%
Roy
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Roy
Bozak
Last 10: Roy 2-8 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
4
Roy
Bozak
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
2
5
Roy
Bozak
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (3,719)
53.7% (9,596)
-5.0%
Power Play
49.5% (283)
55.2% (1,990)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (477)
48.0% (1,094)
-2.5%
On power play, Bozak has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Roy is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,191).
Roy shoots right. Bozak is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,312).
Home / Away
Roy
Bozak
Home
49.5% (2,221)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
47.3% (2,258)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Roy
Bozak
P1
50.8%
53.2%
P2
46.3%
52.8%
P3
48.1%
54.5%
OT
50.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
47.2%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 01:38 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 13:32 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| May 7, 2021 | 2 | 12:21 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| May 7, 2021 | 2 | 09:48 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 3 | 05:58 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 3 | 19:45 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 3 | 19:42 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 3 | 18:09 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 2 | 13:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 15:11 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 1 | 18:07 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 1 | 06:15 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |