Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.8% vs 45.4%). Look for Rask on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Roy wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 46.0% vs Rask 46.2% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rask 51.9%
Defensive zone
Roy 68.9%
Neutral zone
Roy 61.7%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Roy
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Roy
Rask
Last 5: Roy 1-4 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Roy
Rask
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rask
0
3
Roy
Rask
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (275)
45.5% (442)
-4.0%
Power Play
81.8% (11)
44.7% (38)
+37.1%
On power play, Roy has a +37.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Roy is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (226).
Roy shoots right. Rask is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (166).
Home / Away
Roy
Rask
Home
46.1% (167)
45.6% (228)
Away
43.3% (150)
45.2% (252)
By Period
Roy
Rask
P1
46.7%
45.1%
P2
38.5%
45.5%
P3
50.5%
45.8%
Final 5 min
42.6%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
44.8%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2021 | 1 | 14:43 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 3 | 06:48 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 2 | 07:45 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 1 | 10:49 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 1 | 12:22 | Offensive | Victor Rask |