Scouting Report
Victor Rask holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Rask on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Roy wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.4% vs Rask 50.1% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rask 52.8%
Defensive zone
Roy 87.7%
Neutral zone
Roy 67.0%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 71.5%
71.5%
28.5%
Roy
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Roy
Rask
Last 5: Roy 1-4 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Roy
Rask
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rask
0
3
Roy
Rask
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (3,719)
50.0% (4,428)
-1.3%
Power Play
49.5% (283)
54.3% (363)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (477)
35.2% (54)
+10.3%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Roy is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,288).
Roy shoots right. Rask is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,743).
Home / Away
Roy
Rask
Home
49.5% (2,221)
52.0% (2,380)
Away
47.3% (2,258)
48.3% (2,465)
By Period
Roy
Rask
P1
50.8%
50.7%
P2
46.3%
48.9%
P3
48.1%
50.7%
OT
50.0%
52.1%
Final 5 min
47.2%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2021 | 1 | 14:43 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 3 | 06:48 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 2 | 07:45 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 1 | 10:49 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 1 | 12:22 | Offensive | Victor Rask |