Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +15.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Roy wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Eklund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.2% vs Eklund 37.0% (+15.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 59.5%
Defensive zone
Roy 88.5%
Neutral zone
Roy 70.6%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 79.6%
79.6%
20.4%
Roy
Eklund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Roy
Eklund
Last 6: Roy 4-2 Eklund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
2
1
Roy
Eklund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
2
1
Roy
Eklund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Eklund
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (617)
30.8% (208)
+16.7%
Power Play
39.6% (53)
47.1% (17)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (97)
0.0% (5)
+46.4%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +46.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eklund shoots left. Roy is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Roy shoots right. Eklund is 34.5% vs right-shot opponents (87).
Home / Away
Roy
Eklund
Home
47.2% (398)
31.2% (125)
Away
46.3% (369)
31.4% (105)
By Period
Roy
Eklund
P1
48.6%
29.5%
P2
48.8%
27.2%
P3
43.9%
37.1%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
27.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Eklund
28.0%▬
29.0%
31.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 17:14 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 00:37 | Defensive | William Eklund |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 10:08 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 09:49 | Neutral | William Eklund |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 08:07 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 04:25 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |