Scouting Report
Keith Aucoin holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Aucoin on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aucoin 48.9% vs Antropov 44.1% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Antropov 63.6%
Defensive zone
Antropov 51.2%
Neutral zone
Antropov 62.2%
Result
Nik Antropov favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Aucoin
Antropov
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Aucoin
Antropov
Last 5: Aucoin 2-3 Antropov
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aucoin
2
1
Aucoin
Antropov
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Antropov
0
2
Aucoin
Antropov
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aucoin
Antropov
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (320)
44.7% (262)
+3.1%
Power Play
59.1% (22)
28.2% (39)
+30.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
0.0% (3)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Aucoin has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Antropov shoots left. Aucoin is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (212).
Aucoin shoots left. Antropov is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (173).
Home / Away
Aucoin
Antropov
Home
52.6% (154)
42.7% (110)
Away
45.3% (190)
41.8% (194)
By Period
Aucoin
Antropov
P1
42.5%
41.7%
P2
52.9%
45.1%
P3
52.1%
39.4%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aucoin
50.0%▲
44.5%
48.5%
Antropov
42.0%▲
39.0%
42.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2013 | 3 | 01:13 | Neutral | Nik Antropov |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 1 | 08:35 | Neutral | Nik Antropov |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 1 | 00:58 | Defensive | Keith Aucoin |
| Jan 27, 2013 | 3 | 03:50 | Defensive | Keith Aucoin |
| Jan 27, 2013 | 2 | 19:53 | Defensive | Nik Antropov |