Scouting Report
Matt Ellis holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Antropov on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ellis 48.5% vs Antropov 44.3% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Antropov 69.3%
Defensive zone
Antropov 50.3%
Neutral zone
Antropov 56.6%
Result
Nik Antropov favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Ellis
Antropov
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Ellis
Antropov
Last 5: Ellis 2-3 Antropov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Antropov
0
1
Ellis
Antropov
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ellis
1
0
Ellis
Antropov
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Antropov
1
2
Ellis
Antropov
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ellis
Antropov
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (223)
43.8% (486)
+4.2%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
49.4% (87)
-49.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
38.6% (70)
+11.4%
On power play, Antropov has a +49.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Antropov shoots left. Ellis is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (161).
Ellis shoots left. Antropov is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (458).
Home / Away
Ellis
Antropov
Home
51.4% (107)
45.5% (323)
Away
45.3% (137)
41.3% (329)
By Period
Ellis
Antropov
P1
46.7%
45.0%
P2
47.3%
45.5%
P3
50.8%
40.5%
Final 5 min
43.9%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ellis
42.0%▼
49.0%
48.0%
Antropov
42.0%▲
39.0%
43.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2012 | 1 | 17:34 | Neutral | Nik Antropov |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 2 | 13:31 | Offensive | Nik Antropov |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 01:53 | Defensive | Matt Ellis |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 2 | 11:12 | Neutral | Nik Antropov |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 2 | 11:08 | Neutral | Matt Ellis |