Scouting Report
Tim Connolly holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Antropov on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Antropov wins 45.0% vs right-shot opponents — Connolly shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Antropov 45.3% vs Connolly 47.3% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Antropov leads 14-10 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Connolly 62.5%
Defensive zone
Connolly 71.7%
Neutral zone
Connolly 59.4%
Result
Tim Connolly favored at 62.9%
37.1%
62.9%
Antropov
Connolly
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
10
(24 meetings)
14
10
Antropov
Connolly
Last 10: Antropov 5-5 Connolly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Connolly
5
6
Antropov
Connolly
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Antropov
4
0
Antropov
Connolly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Antropov
5
4
Antropov
Connolly
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Antropov
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (1,209)
47.4% (1,307)
-1.7%
Power Play
45.5% (191)
50.2% (251)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (77)
41.9% (186)
-2.9%
On power play, Connolly has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Antropov is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Antropov shoots left. Connolly is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,179).
Home / Away
Antropov
Connolly
Home
48.0% (704)
48.5% (870)
Away
42.4% (786)
45.9% (885)
By Period
Antropov
Connolly
P1
42.8%
47.4%
P2
47.0%
47.7%
P3
45.6%
47.0%
OT
38.5%
37.8%
Final 5 min
50.2%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Antropov
42.0%▲
39.0%
45.0%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2012 | 3 | 01:07 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 1 | 16:43 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 1 | 09:38 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 1 | 01:44 | Defensive | Nik Antropov |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 3 | 12:22 | Offensive | Nik Antropov |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 2 | 01:22 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nik Antropov |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 2 | 19:32 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 2 | 09:18 | Offensive | Nik Antropov |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 1 | 04:42 | Neutral | Nik Antropov |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 3 | 06:20 | Offensive | Nik Antropov |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 1 | 08:06 | Neutral | Nik Antropov |
| Feb 23, 2011 | 2 | 19:03 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 23, 2011 | 2 | 18:52 | Neutral | Nik Antropov |
| Feb 23, 2011 | 2 | 14:10 | Offensive | Nik Antropov |
| Feb 23, 2011 | 2 | 13:08 | Defensive | Nik Antropov |
| Feb 23, 2011 | 1 | 14:32 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 23, 2011 | 1 | 10:29 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 23, 2011 | 1 | 03:55 | Offensive | Nik Antropov |
| Oct 29, 2010 | 2 | 17:03 | Defensive | Nik Antropov |