Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Roy wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Alexandrov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.2% vs Alexandrov 45.5% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Alexandrov 75.3%
Defensive zone
Roy 53.4%
Neutral zone
Alexandrov 55.5%
Result
Nikita Alexandrov favored at 61.6%
38.4%
61.6%
Roy
Alexandrov
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Roy
Alexandrov
Last 5: Roy 1-4 Alexandrov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Roy
Alexandrov
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Alexandrov
0
1
Roy
Alexandrov
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Alexandrov
0
2
Roy
Alexandrov
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Alexandrov
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (617)
40.7% (91)
+6.8%
On even strength, Roy has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Alexandrov shoots left. Roy is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Roy shoots right. Alexandrov is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (38).
Home / Away
Roy
Alexandrov
Home
47.2% (398)
53.2% (47)
Away
46.3% (369)
27.3% (44)
By Period
Roy
Alexandrov
P1
48.6%
50.0%
P2
48.8%
22.7%
P3
43.9%
40.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Alexandrov
40.0%▬
39.5%
40.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2023 | 3 | 19:48 | Neutral | Nikita Alexandrov |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 1 | 07:46 | Neutral | Nikita Alexandrov |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 1 | 07:38 | Offensive | Nikita Alexandrov |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 1 | 09:28 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 1 | 09:11 | Defensive | Nikita Alexandrov |