Nikita Alexandrov vs Steven Lorentz
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Lorentz holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lorentz on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Alexandrov wins 38.0% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Alexandrov 41.1% vs Lorentz 48.6% (-11.2%)
H2H factor
Lorentz leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Alexandrov 70.3%
Defensive zone
Alexandrov 73.2%
Neutral zone
Alexandrov 69.4%
Result
Nikita Alexandrov favored at 70.1%
70.1%
29.9%
Alexandrov
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Alexandrov
Lorentz
Last 10: Alexandrov 3-7 Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lorentz
0
4
Alexandrov
Lorentz
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Alexandrov
1
0
Alexandrov
Lorentz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lorentz
2
3
Alexandrov
Lorentz
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Alexandrov
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
37.6% (237)
48.9% (1,118)
-11.3%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
50.0% (26)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
41.9% (86)
-41.9%
On penalty kill, Lorentz has a +41.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Alexandrov is 38.0% vs left-shot opponents (158).
Alexandrov shoots left. Lorentz is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Home / Away
Alexandrov
Lorentz
Home
41.7% (108)
50.8% (606)
Away
33.8% (133)
46.2% (624)
By Period
Alexandrov
Lorentz
P1
45.7%
53.0%
P2
27.7%
46.8%
P3
35.7%
46.1%
Final 5 min
39.6%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Alexandrov
40.0%▬
39.5%
37.3%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 04:25 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 09:11 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 12:31 | Neutral | Nikita Alexandrov |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 08:15 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 3 | 17:03 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 3 | 14:52 | Neutral | Nikita Alexandrov |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 09:30 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 02:35 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 05:20 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 02:17 | Defensive | Nikita Alexandrov |