Nikita Alexandrov vs Steven Lorentz
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Lorentz holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lorentz on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Alexandrov wins 38.0% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Alexandrov 41.1% vs Lorentz 48.7% (-11.3%)
H2H factor
Lorentz leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Alexandrov 72.4%
Defensive zone
Alexandrov 76.1%
Neutral zone
Alexandrov 73.6%
Result
Nikita Alexandrov favored at 73.3%
73.3%
26.7%
Alexandrov
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Alexandrov
Lorentz
Last 10: Alexandrov 3-7 Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lorentz
0
4
Alexandrov
Lorentz
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Alexandrov
1
0
Alexandrov
Lorentz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lorentz
2
3
Alexandrov
Lorentz
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Alexandrov
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
37.6% (237)
49.1% (1,111)
-11.5%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
48.0% (25)
-14.7%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
41.3% (75)
-41.3%
On penalty kill, Lorentz has a +41.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Alexandrov is 38.0% vs left-shot opponents (158).
Alexandrov shoots left. Lorentz is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (768).
Home / Away
Alexandrov
Lorentz
Home
41.7% (108)
50.8% (595)
Away
33.8% (133)
46.6% (616)
By Period
Alexandrov
Lorentz
P1
45.7%
52.8%
P2
27.7%
47.4%
P3
35.7%
46.3%
Final 5 min
39.6%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Alexandrov
40.0%▬
39.5%
37.3%
Lorentz
58.0%▲
47.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 04:25 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 09:11 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 12:31 | Neutral | Nikita Alexandrov |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 08:15 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 3 | 17:03 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 3 | 14:52 | Neutral | Nikita Alexandrov |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 09:30 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 02:35 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 05:20 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 02:17 | Defensive | Nikita Alexandrov |