Nikita Alexandrov vs Steven Lorentz
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Lorentz holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lorentz on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Alexandrov wins 37.1% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Alexandrov 41.2% vs Lorentz 48.2% (-12.6%)
H2H factor
Lorentz leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Alexandrov 79.3%
Defensive zone
Alexandrov 64.2%
Neutral zone
Alexandrov 66.8%
Result
Nikita Alexandrov favored at 71.5%
71.5%
28.5%
Alexandrov
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Alexandrov
Lorentz
Last 10: Alexandrov 3-7 Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lorentz
0
4
Alexandrov
Lorentz
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Alexandrov
1
0
Alexandrov
Lorentz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lorentz
2
3
Alexandrov
Lorentz
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Alexandrov
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
35.6% (146)
48.3% (497)
-12.7%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
63.6% (11)
-30.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
38.5% (39)
-38.5%
On penalty kill, Lorentz has a +38.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Alexandrov is 37.1% vs left-shot opponents (105).
Alexandrov shoots left. Lorentz is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (344).
Home / Away
Alexandrov
Lorentz
Home
32.8% (61)
50.4% (238)
Away
37.1% (89)
46.0% (309)
By Period
Alexandrov
Lorentz
P1
41.7%
49.1%
P2
30.2%
48.0%
P3
33.9%
47.2%
Final 5 min
37.1%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Alexandrov
40.0%▬
39.5%
35.3%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 04:25 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 09:11 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 12:31 | Neutral | Nikita Alexandrov |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 08:15 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 3 | 17:03 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 3 | 14:52 | Neutral | Nikita Alexandrov |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 09:30 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 02:35 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 05:20 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 02:17 | Defensive | Nikita Alexandrov |