Scouting Report
Noah Cates holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Aman on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Aman wins 39.5% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aman 41.1% vs Cates 43.0% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cates 68.6%
Defensive zone
Cates 67.6%
Neutral zone
Cates 77.2%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 71.6%
28.4%
71.6%
Aman
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Aman
Cates
Last 8: Aman 6-2 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aman
2
1
Aman
Cates
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aman
2
0
Aman
Cates
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aman
2
1
Aman
Cates
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aman
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (664)
43.8% (2,596)
-3.6%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
43.8% (224)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (35)
35.2% (364)
-0.9%
On power play, Cates has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Aman is 39.5% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Aman shoots left. Cates is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,180).
Home / Away
Aman
Cates
Home
39.6% (341)
43.5% (1,590)
Away
40.1% (367)
42.1% (1,594)
By Period
Aman
Cates
P1
41.9%
44.5%
P2
42.1%
43.2%
P3
35.5%
40.9%
Final 5 min
36.5%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aman
38.0%▼
40.5%
39.8%
Cates
56.0%▲
46.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 18:03 | Neutral | Nils Aman |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 05:22 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 17:28 | Neutral | Nils Aman |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 16:04 | Offensive | Nils Aman |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 06:10 | Defensive | Nils Aman |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 06:04 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 16:55 | Offensive | Nils Aman |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 12:49 | Defensive | Nils Aman |