Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Aman wins 40.4% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aman 41.1% vs Johansen 53.3% (-13.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aman 69.9%
Defensive zone
Aman 78.2%
Neutral zone
Aman 81.0%
Result
Nils Aman favored at 71.7%
71.7%
28.3%
Aman
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Aman
Johansen
Last 6: Aman 1-5 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
4
Aman
Johansen
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Aman
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aman
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (664)
53.1% (11,017)
-12.9%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
56.2% (2,163)
-22.9%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (35)
50.5% (978)
-16.2%
On power play, Johansen has a +22.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Aman is 40.4% vs right-shot opponents (235).
Aman shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Home / Away
Aman
Johansen
Home
39.6% (341)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
40.1% (367)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Aman
Johansen
P1
41.9%
53.2%
P2
42.1%
53.9%
P3
35.5%
52.8%
Final 5 min
36.5%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aman
38.0%▼
40.5%
39.8%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 01:51 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 04:32 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 04:20 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 06:45 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 13:35 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 09:46 | Offensive | Nils Aman |