Scouting Report
Nino Niederreiter holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Niederreiter wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Niederreiter 48.4% vs Novak 43.5% (+3.4%)
Offensive zone
Novak 55.3%
Defensive zone
Novak 62.6%
Neutral zone
Novak 58.7%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Niederreiter
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Niederreiter
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
37.0% (27)
40.7% (460)
-3.7%
Power Play
53.3% (30)
61.5% (39)
-8.2%
On power play, Novak has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Niederreiter is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (30).
Niederreiter shoots left. Novak is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Niederreiter
Novak
Home
45.5% (33)
47.0% (236)
Away
45.8% (24)
37.9% (264)
By Period
Niederreiter
Novak
P1
22.2%
43.1%
P2
54.2%
43.1%
P3
60.0%
40.1%
Final 5 min
50.0%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Niederreiter
42.0%▼
45.5%
45.6%
Novak
44.0%▬
43.0%
42.2%