Scouting Report
Isac Lundeström holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lundeström on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lundeström wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 47.5% vs Cates 45.1% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lundeström 56.5%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 88.0%
Neutral zone
Lundeström 71.8%
Result
Isac Lundeström favored at 69.6%
69.6%
30.4%
Lundeström
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Lundeström
Cates
Last 6: Lundeström 5-1 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundeström
2
1
Lundeström
Cates
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundeström
2
0
Lundeström
Cates
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundeström
1
0
Lundeström
Cates
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (626)
46.7% (912)
+3.6%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
33.9% (56)
+26.1%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (300)
35.0% (137)
+5.3%
On power play, Lundeström has a +26.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Lundeström is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (677).
Lundeström shoots left. Cates is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Home / Away
Lundeström
Cates
Home
48.4% (504)
46.1% (521)
Away
45.8% (432)
43.3% (584)
By Period
Lundeström
Cates
P1
50.2%
48.0%
P2
43.5%
42.3%
P3
47.8%
44.3%
OT
71.4%
31.3%
Final 5 min
43.4%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
47.2%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 04:15 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 17:05 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 15:25 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 18:57 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 02:59 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 05:15 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |