Scouting Report
Noah Cates holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Aman on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Aman wins 38.1% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aman 40.2% vs Cates 40.4% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cates 56.0%
Defensive zone
Cates 51.1%
Neutral zone
Cates 55.7%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Aman
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Aman
Cates
Last 8: Aman 6-2 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aman
2
1
Aman
Cates
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aman
2
0
Aman
Cates
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aman
2
1
Aman
Cates
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aman
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
39.0% (439)
40.4% (841)
-1.4%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
42.4% (66)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
32.7% (147)
-7.7%
On penalty kill, Cates has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Aman is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Aman shoots left. Cates is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (749).
Home / Away
Aman
Cates
Home
39.8% (259)
38.2% (566)
Away
36.3% (215)
41.0% (488)
By Period
Aman
Cates
P1
38.9%
40.5%
P2
41.7%
42.4%
P3
33.8%
35.3%
Final 5 min
39.1%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aman
38.0%▼
40.5%
38.2%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
39.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 18:03 | Neutral | Nils Aman |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 05:22 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 17:28 | Neutral | Nils Aman |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 16:04 | Offensive | Nils Aman |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 06:10 | Defensive | Nils Aman |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 06:04 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 16:55 | Offensive | Nils Aman |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 12:49 | Defensive | Nils Aman |