Scouting Report
Scott Laughton holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Laughton on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Cates wins 43.4% vs left-shot opponents — Laughton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 45.5% vs Laughton 56.0% (-12.1%)
H2H factor
Laughton leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Cates 92.2%
Defensive zone
Cates 65.1%
Neutral zone
Cates 79.9%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 79.0%
79.0%
21.0%
Cates
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Cates
Laughton
Last 10: Cates 3-7 Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Cates
Laughton
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laughton
0
4
Cates
Laughton
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Laughton
1
2
Cates
Laughton
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (712)
55.2% (446)
-9.8%
Power Play
42.2% (102)
75.0% (4)
-32.8%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (47)
62.5% (136)
-17.8%
On power play, Laughton has a +32.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. Cates is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Cates shoots left. Laughton is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Home / Away
Cates
Laughton
Home
46.3% (423)
57.4% (263)
Away
43.6% (438)
56.7% (323)
By Period
Cates
Laughton
P1
46.3%
56.0%
P2
47.1%
61.1%
P3
42.1%
53.1%
OT
18.2%
100.0%
Final 5 min
44.0%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.9%
Laughton
60.0%▲
55.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 17:08 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 06:04 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 08:20 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 04:00 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 07:18 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 13:00 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 03:14 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 17:29 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 09:49 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |