Scouting Report
Scott Laughton holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Laughton on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Cates wins 41.9% vs left-shot opponents — Laughton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 43.2% vs Laughton 50.4% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Laughton leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Cates 72.3%
Defensive zone
Cates 79.4%
Neutral zone
Cates 73.2%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 75.1%
75.1%
24.9%
Cates
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Cates
Laughton
Last 10: Cates 3-7 Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Cates
Laughton
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laughton
0
4
Cates
Laughton
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Laughton
1
2
Cates
Laughton
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (2,742)
50.9% (5,383)
-6.8%
Power Play
43.0% (242)
52.6% (327)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
34.9% (373)
46.6% (887)
-11.7%
On penalty kill, Laughton has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. Cates is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,284).
Cates shoots left. Laughton is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,329).
Home / Away
Cates
Laughton
Home
43.8% (1,663)
51.2% (3,255)
Away
42.1% (1,694)
49.6% (3,342)
By Period
Cates
Laughton
P1
44.5%
49.2%
P2
43.5%
52.9%
P3
41.2%
49.1%
OT
29.4%
39.6%
Final 5 min
41.1%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
43.0%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 17:08 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 06:04 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 08:20 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 04:00 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 07:18 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 13:00 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 03:14 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 17:29 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 09:49 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |