Scouting Report
Travis Boyd holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyd on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cates wins 40.0% vs right-shot opponents — Boyd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 40.4% vs Boyd 43.9% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cates 63.4%
Defensive zone
Cates 72.3%
Neutral zone
Cates 70.4%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 68.5%
68.5%
31.5%
Cates
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Cates
Boyd
Last 9: Cates 1-8 Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyd
0
3
Cates
Boyd
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyd
0
2
Cates
Boyd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boyd
1
3
Cates
Boyd
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (841)
43.4% (893)
-3.0%
Power Play
42.4% (66)
51.5% (136)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
32.7% (147)
34.6% (127)
-1.9%
On power play, Boyd has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Cates is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Cates shoots left. Boyd is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (805).
Home / Away
Cates
Boyd
Home
38.2% (566)
46.0% (570)
Away
41.0% (488)
41.0% (586)
By Period
Cates
Boyd
P1
40.5%
38.9%
P2
42.4%
50.4%
P3
35.3%
41.1%
OT
42.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
36.8%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
39.5%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
43.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2023 | 3 | 05:58 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 2 | 11:42 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 2 | 00:25 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 1 | 15:55 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 2 | 09:33 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 1 | 10:41 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 1 | 08:57 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 1 | 06:02 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 1 | 00:20 | Neutral | Noah Cates |