Scouting Report
Evan Rodrigues holds a +15.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.3% vs Ostlund 36.5% (+15.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 53.4%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 79.1%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 66.0%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 66.1%
66.1%
33.9%
Rodrigues
Ostlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Rodrigues
Ostlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ostlund
0
1
Rodrigues
Ostlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Ostlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Ostlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Ostlund
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (637)
32.2% (261)
+15.7%
Power Play
47.9% (71)
11.1% (9)
+36.8%
Penalty Kill
37.3% (67)
33.3% (3)
+4.0%
On power play, Rodrigues has a +36.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostlund shoots left. Rodrigues is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (574).
Rodrigues shoots right. Ostlund is 35.8% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Ostlund
Home
48.3% (429)
37.3% (142)
Away
45.4% (346)
25.2% (131)
By Period
Rodrigues
Ostlund
P1
48.3%
34.0%
P2
46.9%
32.6%
P3
45.6%
27.4%
Final 5 min
50.6%
23.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
47.0%
Ostlund
46.0%▲
34.5%
31.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | 3 | 10:46 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 1 | 12:04 | Offensive | Noah Ostlund |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 1 | 00:38 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |