Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Philp on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Philp wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Philp 48.9% vs Monahan 51.3% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 84.7%
Defensive zone
Monahan 52.0%
Neutral zone
Monahan 69.3%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 63.2%
36.8%
63.2%
Philp
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Philp
Monahan
Last 6: Philp 5-1 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Philp
1
0
Philp
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Philp
3
0
Philp
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Philp
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Philp
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (204)
51.1% (11,356)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (21)
46.0% (766)
-12.7%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Philp is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (179).
Philp shoots right. Monahan is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (5,401).
Home / Away
Philp
Monahan
Home
52.6% (97)
52.4% (7,358)
Away
45.3% (128)
50.2% (7,344)
By Period
Philp
Monahan
P1
50.8%
50.9%
P2
48.9%
51.7%
P3
45.5%
51.0%
Final 5 min
41.2%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Philp
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 18:20 | Neutral | Noah Philp |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 07:15 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 3 | 12:02 | Defensive | Noah Philp |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 2 | 13:06 | Offensive | Noah Philp |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 2 | 12:56 | Defensive | Noah Philp |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 2 | 03:57 | Defensive | Noah Philp |