Scouting Report
Noah Philp holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Philp wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Philp 48.9% vs Novak 43.3% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 61.5%
Defensive zone
Philp 82.3%
Neutral zone
Philp 63.8%
Result
Noah Philp favored at 61.1%
61.1%
38.9%
Philp
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Philp
Novak
Last 5: Philp 3-2 Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Philp
Novak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Philp
Novak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Philp
1
0
Philp
Novak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Philp
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (204)
42.1% (1,539)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (21)
50.0% (2)
-16.7%
On penalty kill, Novak has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Philp is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (179).
Philp shoots right. Novak is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Philp
Novak
Home
52.6% (97)
45.3% (814)
Away
45.3% (128)
40.6% (860)
By Period
Philp
Novak
P1
50.8%
43.9%
P2
48.9%
42.8%
P3
45.5%
41.7%
Final 5 min
41.2%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Philp
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 01:48 | Neutral | Noah Philp |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 18:26 | Defensive | Noah Philp |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 10:02 | Defensive | Tommy Novak |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 05:41 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 06:26 | Offensive | Noah Philp |