Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 51.2% vs Acciari 53.3% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 55.0%
Defensive zone
Acciari 60.6%
Neutral zone
Acciari 58.3%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Cirelli
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Cirelli
Acciari
Last 5: Cirelli 4-1 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Acciari
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
3
1
Cirelli
Acciari
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (585)
54.5% (532)
-2.4%
Power Play
56.8% (74)
62.5% (8)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (172)
48.8% (86)
-2.3%
On power play, Acciari has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Cirelli is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (327).
Cirelli shoots left. Acciari is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (412).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Acciari
Home
52.4% (462)
56.2% (281)
Away
50.1% (369)
51.9% (345)
By Period
Cirelli
Acciari
P1
50.7%
53.4%
P2
49.6%
57.1%
P3
53.3%
51.4%
OT
61.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
51.4%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 00:08 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 2 | 15:36 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 18:08 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 18:00 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |