Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs Acciari 51.3% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 72.6%
Defensive zone
Acciari 67.0%
Neutral zone
Lazar 51.3%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Lazar
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Lazar
Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Acciari
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lazar
Acciari
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (2,658)
52.8% (3,270)
-2.6%
Power Play
52.3% (65)
48.2% (85)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (415)
47.1% (1,056)
-5.2%
On penalty kill, Acciari has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Lazar is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (857).
Lazar shoots right. Acciari is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,186).
Home / Away
Lazar
Acciari
Home
50.1% (1,542)
52.0% (2,104)
Away
48.2% (1,596)
50.7% (2,307)
By Period
Lazar
Acciari
P1
48.9%
52.2%
P2
48.9%
51.5%
P3
49.5%
50.5%
OT
56.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.9%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
49.1%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 09:21 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 3 | 04:39 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 1 | 10:08 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |