Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Staal wins 65.1% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.7% vs Acciari 51.3% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 93.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 52.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 74.4%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 88.2%
88.2%
11.8%
Staal
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
0
(7 meetings)
7
0
Staal
Acciari
Last 7: Staal 7-0 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
5
0
Staal
Acciari
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Acciari
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (939)
53.4% (279)
+2.8%
Power Play
66.9% (139)
31.3% (16)
+35.6%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (239)
50.6% (178)
-7.1%
On power play, Staal has a +35.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Staal is 65.1% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Staal shoots left. Acciari is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (366).
Home / Away
Staal
Acciari
Home
55.4% (663)
53.5% (256)
Away
54.7% (654)
49.3% (217)
By Period
Staal
Acciari
P1
54.9%
53.1%
P2
55.1%
51.2%
P3
54.0%
51.0%
OT
70.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
57.3%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
50.0%▼
52.5%
55.0%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 12:17 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 15:08 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 10, 2026 | OT | 02:48 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 09:45 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 09:21 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 15:08 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 11:12 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |