Scouting Report
Josh Bailey holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bailey on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Bailey wins 46.2% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 50.0% vs Acciari 48.2% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bailey 84.4%
Defensive zone
Acciari 87.2%
Neutral zone
Acciari 54.4%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 67.5%
32.5%
67.5%
Bailey
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Bailey
Acciari
Last 5: Bailey 2-3 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
2
Bailey
Acciari
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bailey
2
1
Bailey
Acciari
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (189)
51.2% (557)
-0.4%
Power Play
52.8% (53)
35.7% (14)
+17.1%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
40.8% (223)
-12.2%
On power play, Bailey has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Bailey is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (117).
Bailey shoots left. Acciari is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (519).
Home / Away
Bailey
Acciari
Home
55.2% (145)
49.0% (392)
Away
43.2% (111)
47.0% (402)
By Period
Bailey
Acciari
P1
42.4%
52.9%
P2
52.2%
44.7%
P3
56.9%
47.0%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
45.2%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
50.0%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2019 | 2 | 14:25 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 2 | 09:47 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 1 | 19:42 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 1 | 14:32 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |