Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stenlund wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 48.1% vs Acciari 52.0% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stenlund 79.8%
Defensive zone
Acciari 62.3%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 56.7%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Stenlund
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Stenlund
Acciari
Last 5: Stenlund 1-4 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
1
Stenlund
Acciari
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
2
Stenlund
Acciari
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
1
Stenlund
Acciari
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (208)
53.1% (375)
-6.0%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
51.5% (33)
-1.5%
On even strength, Acciari has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Stenlund is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (53).
Stenlund shoots right. Acciari is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (125).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Acciari
Home
43.9% (114)
49.4% (243)
Away
51.0% (104)
55.1% (276)
By Period
Stenlund
Acciari
P1
47.1%
50.9%
P2
53.2%
54.7%
P3
37.5%
51.7%
Final 5 min
39.6%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
47.2%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2021 | 2 | 13:33 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 1 | 15:37 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 2 | 09:12 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 19:57 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 08:10 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |