Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Jankowski wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 53.2% vs Acciari 51.3% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Acciari leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Jankowski 79.5%
Defensive zone
Acciari 88.3%
Neutral zone
Acciari 61.3%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
Jankowski
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Jankowski
Acciari
Last 10: Jankowski 3-7 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
2
3
Jankowski
Acciari
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
4
Jankowski
Acciari
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
2
1
Jankowski
Acciari
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (515)
53.4% (279)
+0.4%
Power Play
41.7% (12)
31.3% (16)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (38)
50.6% (178)
+7.3%
On power play, Jankowski has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Jankowski is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Jankowski shoots left. Acciari is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (366).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Acciari
Home
53.9% (310)
53.5% (256)
Away
53.7% (255)
49.3% (217)
By Period
Jankowski
Acciari
P1
54.4%
53.1%
P2
55.7%
51.2%
P3
51.5%
51.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
50.0%▬
51.0%
53.8%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 11:01 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 02:11 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 17:19 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 17:12 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 12:06 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 02:32 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 07:42 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 02:18 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 18:31 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 14:44 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 11:44 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 10:00 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 18:25 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |