Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jankowski wins 42.0% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 45.7% vs Acciari 48.2% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 66.8%
Defensive zone
Acciari 79.2%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 52.0%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 60.8%
39.2%
60.8%
Jankowski
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Jankowski
Acciari
Last 5: Jankowski 4-1 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jankowski
Acciari
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
3
0
Jankowski
Acciari
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (349)
51.2% (557)
-4.5%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
35.7% (14)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (70)
40.8% (223)
-6.5%
On power play, Jankowski has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Jankowski is 42.0% vs right-shot opponents (174).
Jankowski shoots left. Acciari is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (519).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Acciari
Home
47.0% (183)
49.0% (392)
Away
43.0% (242)
47.0% (402)
By Period
Jankowski
Acciari
P1
44.5%
52.9%
P2
42.9%
44.7%
P3
47.4%
47.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
44.7%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2020 | 2 | 12:15 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 2 | 19:29 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 2 | 19:21 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 2 | 07:46 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 1 | 12:45 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |