Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kapanen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Acciari wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Kapanen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 51.2% vs Kapanen 47.8% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kapanen 92.2%
Defensive zone
Acciari 73.5%
Neutral zone
Kapanen 60.1%
Result
Oliver Kapanen favored at 79.1%
20.9%
79.1%
Acciari
Kapanen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Acciari
Kapanen
Last 5: Acciari 1-4 Kapanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kapanen
0
4
Acciari
Kapanen
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
0
Acciari
Kapanen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (285)
47.5% (514)
+5.5%
Power Play
31.3% (16)
55.0% (40)
-23.7%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (183)
39.5% (38)
+11.3%
On power play, Kapanen has a +23.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Acciari is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (107).
Acciari shoots right. Kapanen is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Acciari
Kapanen
Home
53.2% (267)
47.9% (307)
Away
49.3% (217)
47.0% (285)
By Period
Acciari
Kapanen
P1
53.1%
42.7%
P2
51.1%
51.4%
P3
50.6%
48.4%
OT
40.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.4%
Kapanen
48.0%▬
48.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 17:06 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 02:07 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 09:33 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 07:17 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:44 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |