Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kapanen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 51.3% vs Kapanen 47.5% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kapanen 93.4%
Defensive zone
Acciari 72.1%
Neutral zone
Kapanen 60.4%
Result
Oliver Kapanen favored at 77.0%
23.0%
77.0%
Acciari
Kapanen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Acciari
Kapanen
Last 6: Acciari 2-4 Kapanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kapanen
0
4
Acciari
Kapanen
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
0
Acciari
Kapanen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
0
Acciari
Kapanen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (3,276)
47.2% (559)
+5.6%
Power Play
48.2% (85)
51.0% (51)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,061)
39.5% (38)
+7.6%
On penalty kill, Acciari has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Acciari is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,186).
Acciari shoots right. Kapanen is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (166).
Home / Away
Acciari
Kapanen
Home
52.0% (2,115)
47.1% (340)
Away
50.7% (2,307)
47.1% (308)
By Period
Acciari
Kapanen
P1
52.2%
42.7%
P2
51.5%
50.2%
P3
50.5%
48.2%
OT
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
51.7%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.3%
Kapanen
48.0%▬
48.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 17:06 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 02:07 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 09:33 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 07:17 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:44 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 09:09 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |