Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 51.2% vs McLeod 47.8% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 81.4%
Defensive zone
Acciari 79.7%
Neutral zone
Acciari 58.7%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Acciari
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Acciari
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
0
Acciari
McLeod
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
0
Acciari
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (285)
49.2% (796)
+3.8%
Power Play
31.3% (16)
44.8% (87)
-13.5%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (183)
43.3% (263)
+7.5%
On power play, McLeod has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Acciari is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (377).
Acciari shoots right. McLeod is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Acciari
McLeod
Home
53.2% (267)
49.2% (575)
Away
49.3% (217)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Acciari
McLeod
P1
53.1%
52.8%
P2
51.1%
45.1%
P3
50.6%
45.6%
OT
40.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
52.8%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.4%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 14:05 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 05:19 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |