Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Acciari wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 53.2% vs McLeod 52.1% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 88.1%
Defensive zone
Acciari 56.9%
Neutral zone
Acciari 51.0%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 67.1%
32.9%
67.1%
Acciari
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Acciari
McLeod
Last 8: Acciari 3-5 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
4
Acciari
McLeod
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
2
0
Acciari
McLeod
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Acciari
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
56.7% (393)
52.9% (904)
+3.8%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
57.6% (59)
-24.3%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (202)
49.0% (241)
-1.0%
On power play, McLeod has a +24.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Acciari is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Acciari shoots right. McLeod is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Home / Away
Acciari
McLeod
Home
54.5% (279)
51.8% (612)
Away
53.0% (319)
52.9% (592)
By Period
Acciari
McLeod
P1
56.9%
55.4%
P2
51.4%
50.8%
P3
53.2%
51.6%
OT
60.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
60.9%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
53.7%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 05:56 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 05:53 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 03:52 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 09:32 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 19:30 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 13:11 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 00:27 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 1 | 15:16 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |