Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 51.2% vs Poehling 47.4% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poehling 75.4%
Defensive zone
Acciari 64.1%
Neutral zone
Poehling 59.4%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Acciari
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Acciari
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
0
Acciari
Poehling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Acciari
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (285)
49.8% (626)
+3.2%
Power Play
31.3% (16)
58.3% (12)
-27.0%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (183)
38.2% (207)
+12.6%
On power play, Poehling has a +27.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Acciari is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (377).
Acciari shoots right. Poehling is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Acciari
Poehling
Home
53.2% (267)
47.3% (404)
Away
49.3% (217)
46.9% (441)
By Period
Acciari
Poehling
P1
53.1%
53.5%
P2
51.1%
39.4%
P3
50.6%
49.1%
OT
40.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
52.8%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.4%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 19:41 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 12:42 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |